| In the days leading up to the Ukrainian
election in October 2004, the authorities reverted to ever
dirtier tactics to try and win the vote. By Julius Strauss
in Kiev.
27 October 2004
THE opposition leader's face was badly disfigured,
allegedly by poison. Undercover police dressed as thugs stabbed
demonstrators at an anti-government protest.
Around Kiev the SBU, successor to the KGB,
has been hauling off student activists and democracy campaigners.
There has been a series of mysterious explosions.
This is the election campaign in Ukraine
- an election described as the most important in the former
Soviet republic since it became independent more than a decade
ago.
The result will leave Ukraine - a country
of 48 million people once known as the bread-basket of the
Soviet Union - firmly in either the western or Russian orbit
for many years to come.
It may also prove decisive in whether President
Vladimir Putin can recreate a rump Soviet Union based on a
common economic zone between Russia, Belarus, Kazakhstan and
Ukraine. The campaign has been marred by beatings, arrests
and attacks, apparently orchestrated by the ruling regime.
With the polls giving the opposition a slight
lead there is even speculation that the regime may cancel
or steal the election if it does not produce the right result.
In recent years, government figures have
been accused of involvement in numerous scandals, including
the murder of a journalist, which, if investigated, could
mean some of them not only lose power but end up in prison.
The difference between the two leading candidates
and their platforms could hardly be starker.
Viktor Yushchenko, leader of the opposition
Our Ukraine coalition, who now wears heavy make-up to conceal
his disfigured face, is offering closer ties to the West and
a path towards eventual membership of Nato and the European
Union.
Viktor Yanukovich, the chosen successor of
Leonid Kuchma, the outgoing president, has promised to make
Russian an official language, allow Ukrainians dual citizenship
and move politically closer to Moscow.
Mr Yanukovich's staff have been forced to
admit that he served two prison sentences for violent crime.
In the West, such a disclosure might be expected to finish
a politician but in the former Soviet Union the charges have
less resonance.
"It's true he was a bit of a hooligan
but that was a long time ago," said Lyudmila Bugayenko,
56, as she gave out leaflets in Kiev. "Anyway, he pays
the pensions on time."
The Kremlin, which recently endorsed the
victory of the Belarusian dictator Alexander Lukashenko despite
widespread evidence of vote-rigging, has plumped for the less
democratic, more pro-Russian option.
Mr Putin was expected in Ukraine yesterday
for a parade marking the anniversary of the defeat of the
Germans in the Second World War - the event has been brought
forward a week as it is expected to boost the regime's chances
- and will speak live on Ukrainian television.
Some voters want Ukraine to move closer to
Moscow. Alexei, 23, who operates a weighing machine in Kiev,
said: "Russia is close to us. We have a common history.
We're part of their world."
But many more have had enough of the pro-Moscow
faction after a decade of corruption and scandal.
Sasha, 31, a bartender, said: "This election is a choice
between a moral and a criminal future. It's not just about
the EU and Nato - it's about us."
Last weekend, up to 100,000 demonstrators
protested in Kiev against electoral abuses by the authorities.
But, far from backing down, the regime has only stepped up
its attacks.
Pora, a student-based organisation calling
for honest elections, has been a special target. Yevhen Zolotarion,
a Pora activist, said: "We've had more than 400 members
arrested. In the last fortnight 16 of our activists have been
beaten by police. The authorities fear us because they fear
fair elections."
In a small basement flat last week one of
Pora's affiliates was being raided by the SBU when I arrived.
"This is an official search, you can't come in,"
an agent said as two policemen watched silently.
Nearby, Yurko Pavenko, an Our Ukraine
MP, was making an official complaint, though little was likely
to come of it. He said: "If Yanukovich wins we will live
in a country where there are no civil rights and everything
is controlled by oligarchs and mafiosi."
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